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According to exit polls AAP cannot open its account in Haryana 2024

According to exit polls AAP cannot open its account in Haryana 2024

 

AAP cannot open its account in Haryana 2024 : Congress to return in Haryana, J&K assembly uncertainty: Poll of exit polls. According to three exit polls, the Congress will win 54 of the 90 seats in Haryana – much more than the 45 seats needed for a majority. Jammu and Kashmir, which has voted after 10 years, may again face uncertainty in the assembly. According to exit polls, the Congress is likely to return to power in Haryana after a gap of 10 years, while the Congress-National Conference alliance has an edge in Jammu and Kashmir, where a fractured mandate is likely.

If this prediction comes true, it will not only be a morale booster for the Indian bloc after it punched above its weight in the Lok Sabha elections, but also builds momentum ahead of the Maharashtra, Jharkhand and Delhi assembly elections.

According to exit polls AAP cannot open its account in Haryana 2024, According to three exit polls, the Congress will win 54 of the 90 seats in Haryana – more than half of the target of 45. If the exit poll projections prove correct, the Congress is expected to regain control of the north Indian state after a decade-long absence. In Jammu and Kashmir, which has 90 seats, the Congress-National Conference alliance is likely to win 40 seats – six short of the majority figure, according to three exit polls. However, exit polls can often prove wrong.

All three exit polls predicted a comfortable majority for the Congress in Haryana, where the BJP was hoping to win a record third term. While India Today CVoter has predicted 50-58 seats for the Congress, whose campaign was spearheaded by former chief minister Bhupinder Singh Hooda, Republic Matrices has given the party a maximum of 62 seats. According to exit polls AAP cannot open its account in Haryana 2024 If this prediction comes true, it will be a stunning turnaround for the Congress, which won only 31 seats in the 2019 election. The party, which ran an aggressive ‘Haryana Maange Hisaab’ campaign against the BJP government, also won five Lok Sabha seats this year.

POLLSTER BJP Congress JJP Others
India Today-Cvoter 20–28 50–58 0–2 10–14
Bhaskar Reporters Poll 19–29 44–54 0–1 4–10
Republic Bharat Matrize 18–24 55–62 0–3 2–5
Poll of Polls 23 54 3 10

 

According to the Poll of Polls, the BJP, which has been facing anti-incumbency wave and anger of the farmer community for a decade, is likely to get 23 seats. The Bhaskar Reporters Poll has predicted a maximum of 29 seats for the saffron party.

If the exit polls are to be believed, the BJP’s ploy to change leadership in Haryana to ease discontent against the party has failed. Haryana heavyweight Manohar Lal Khattar was replaced by Nayab Singh Saini as the chief minister. In 2019, the BJP missed a majority by winning 40 seats but managed to form the government for the second consecutive time by forging a post-poll alliance with the Jannayak Janata Party (JJP).

Dushyant Chautala’s JJP, which played the role of kingmaker by winning 10 seats in the last elections, may win only 3 seats this time. Independent candidates may get 10 seats, even though Arvind Kejriwal’s Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) is unlikely to even open its account.

According to the Poll of Polls, the Congress-National Conference alliance has an edge in Jammu and Kashmir, where elections are being held for the first time in a decade and after the abrogation of Article 370. Like in 2014, the Union Territory is likely to have a hung assembly again. India Today CVoter has predicted 40-48 seats for the India Bloc, while Republic Matrices has given 31-36 seats. Bhaskar Reporters Poll has projected 35-40 seats for the Congress-NC alliance.

POLLSTER BJP Congress-NC PDP Others
India Today-Cvoter 27–32 40–48 6–12 6–11
Bhaskar Reporters Poll 20–25 35–40 4–7 12–18
Republic Bharat Matrize 28–30 31–36 5–7 8–16
Poll of Polls 29 40 8 13

 

The poll has projected the BJP to win 29 seats, all of them from the Jammu region. Mehbooba Mufti’s PDP, which emerged as the single largest party with 28 seats in 2014, may win only 8 seats this time. However, the PDP, along with independents supported by Engineer Rashid’s Awami Ittehad Party, could play the role of kingmaker in case of a hung assembly. According to the Poll of Polls, independents are projected to win 13 seats, taking advantage of the PDP’s declining popularity.

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